Showing posts with label dollar devaluation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label dollar devaluation. Show all posts

Monday, July 28, 2008

What happens when the dollar shrinks ..

Especially when $1 = Indian Rs. 1

Over the past few months the dollar has been declining against the Euro. This spurred me to think of some discussions I had with friends a few years ago.

The talk was centered around immigration into the US and what makes an individual leave her or his country to go for better prospects in a developed country like USA.

There are various reasons why people move : better job prospects, lesser political tension, better infrastructure support and last but not the least is money driven by growing economy.

In his book "The World is Flat" Friedman talks about how jobs have moved from one country to another largely due to the growth and advancement in technology which link the developed and developing nations.

Today jobs are shifted overseas for getting the same done cheaply. What does one spot at the end of the tunnel?

Today the value of $1 is approximately Rupees 40 in Indian currency. Will a perfect flat world be considered when $1 = Rs 1 or 1 yuan or 1 pesos?

Rather than going into how this could happen lets consider if this does happen what kind of effect will it have. I surveyed a few Indian friends I have and most of them said that Indians would return back to their country since the whole purpose of them coming here was to make money and if thats no longer true then there is no incentive to stay.

That was an immediate reaction. If one thinks more about the same thing. If $1 would become Rs. 1 then will American businessmen see any point to outsource? Will that mean all centers or outsourced jobs would come back to the US?
What would that mean for the Indian economy? Will it fear to lose all these jobs or think of outsourcing them somewhere?

There are some that move to other countries to attain more freedom and just to run away from their home land if the lifestyle back home is not to their liking.

I also spoke to some of my Latin friends , one from Venezuela thought that the baby boomer generation might move back faster if that happens.

The general feeling I got was life after retirement is easier in one's home country.

These are my general thoughts thinking about the same. I will jot down more. I welcome a discussion here :)